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Author Topic: APS Prediction Thread, April 2011 through April 2012  (Read 3647 times)
MicroBalrog
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« Reply #25 on: June 22, 2011, 03:46:57 AM »

1. No major successes will have been made by the Congressional GOP in cutting budgets. They will compromise down from their 100-billion-dollar cut compromise.

This has occured.

Quote
2. Violent crime rates will continue to fall in the United States, and more expansions of gun rights on the state level will be seen.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2006367/Was-abortions-lead-petrol-Obama-effect--Experts-baffled-violent-crime-falls-lowest-levels-1960s.html
http://www.wjfw.com/print_story.html?SKU=20110621181901
http://blogs.philadelphiaweekly.com/phillynow/2011/06/21/bill-to-expand-gun-rights-at-your-castle-headed-to-gov-corbett%E2%80%99s-desk/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=bill-to-expand-gun-rights-at-your-castle-headed-to-gov-corbett%25e2%2580%2599s-desk


Quote
5. The Putin regime in Russia will continue facing tensions within the Putin-Medvedev tandem, and it's possible one or more sides will introduce further economic liberalization, and maybe even political liberalization as a result.

Medvedev has announced further economic liberalization measures at the St. Petersburg economic forum, and intent to decentralize power. Not clear if the latter will actually take place.
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Hawkmoon
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« Reply #26 on: June 22, 2011, 06:40:11 PM »

It's now summer. One wrong so far. The rest are still looking pretty good, (although I'm far less confident about the government shutting down. Apparently the results of the budget fight of the 90's has really frightened the Republicans.)

Premium gas did hit $5/gallon around here for a few weeks. It's edging back down again now, but it likely won't go below $4/gallon for premium, and regular likely won't drop lower than $3.75.
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gunsmith
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« Reply #27 on: June 22, 2011, 08:13:14 PM »



1Glen Becks Israel event gets attacked.
2Bob Dylan dies.
3National Reciprocity attached to debt ceiling bill. (gets signed by B.O to the dismay of bradies)
4gas prices drops but no one has a job so it doesn't help much.
5Taliban resurgence in Afghanistan.
6another huge terrorist attack near anniversary of 9-11 & Obama blames R's
7 President Palin gets sworn in and immediately SF & NYC has huge riots.
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Politicians and bureaucrats are considered productive if they swarm the populous like a plague of locust, devouring all substance in their path and leaving a swath of destruction like a firestorm. The technical term is "bipartisanship".

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gunsmith
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« Reply #28 on: June 22, 2011, 08:14:46 PM »

Premium gas did hit $5/gallon around here for a few weeks. It's edging back down again now, but it likely won't go below $4/gallon for premium, and regular likely won't drop lower than $3.75.

gas was 3.63 in Reno, NV yesterday
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Politicians and bureaucrats are considered productive if they swarm the populous like a plague of locust, devouring all substance in their path and leaving a swath of destruction like a firestorm. The technical term is "bipartisanship".

Out where there are miles and miles of miles and miles.
fistful
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« Reply #29 on: June 22, 2011, 08:30:09 PM »

gas was 3.63 in Reno, NV yesterday

And it's 3.42 where I live. Was makattak talking about national average, or CA price?
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Boomhauer
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« Reply #30 on: June 22, 2011, 08:32:55 PM »

Gas is 3.23/gal for regular in my area today...

Highest it got was around $3.79.
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MillCreek
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« Reply #31 on: June 23, 2011, 04:26:28 AM »

I filled up the scooter with Chevron Premium for $ 4.16/gallon yesterday.  Regular unleaded was $ 3.92.
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makattak
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« Reply #32 on: June 23, 2011, 04:46:54 AM »

And it's 3.42 where I live. Was makattak talking about national average, or CA price?

I had thought national average would push that high, but purposely left it vague as I was counting on CA to save me in case the price increases slowed before summer.
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lupinus
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« Reply #33 on: June 23, 2011, 12:12:14 PM »

Gas is 3.23/gal for regular in my area today...

Highest it got was around $3.79.
But the same here in the upstate. Right up the road is now 3.24.
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Grumpy Old Man
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« Reply #34 on: June 23, 2011, 12:30:33 PM »

I paid $3.74 for regular yesterday.

You would think it would be cheaper here considering this is an oil producing state and there are three refineries within 50 miles of here.  sad
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charby
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« Reply #35 on: June 25, 2011, 08:04:31 PM »

This morning 1.33 CND a liter in Canada and 3.39 in Central Iowa this evening.

Yesterday it was 1.55 CND a liter at the boat dock in Minaki, Ontario, Canada.

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PTK
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« Reply #36 on: June 25, 2011, 08:08:10 PM »

Today, $3.84 9/10 for 91 octane. Montana... slower to rise prices, slower to fall too. Wink
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MicroBalrog
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« Reply #37 on: December 13, 2011, 01:53:22 AM »


4. More Arab regimes will fall. The Khaliphate will not come into being. Possibly, one or more Arab states will develop a fledgling democracy.

Fledgling democracy:

Check. Head of the Tunisian liberal party is now head of government.
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Destroy The Enemy in Hand-to-Hand Combat.

"...tradition and custom becomes intertwined and are a strong coercion which directs the society upon fixed lines, and strangles liberty. " ~ William Graham Sumner
gunsmith
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« Reply #38 on: December 13, 2011, 11:33:44 PM »

the only one I seem to have gotten right is Taliban resurgence
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Politicians and bureaucrats are considered productive if they swarm the populous like a plague of locust, devouring all substance in their path and leaving a swath of destruction like a firestorm. The technical term is "bipartisanship".

Out where there are miles and miles of miles and miles.
MicroBalrog
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« Reply #39 on: February 12, 2012, 09:34:56 PM »

http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/CONSSENT:IND

Consumer confidence index.
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Destroy The Enemy in Hand-to-Hand Combat.

"...tradition and custom becomes intertwined and are a strong coercion which directs the society upon fixed lines, and strangles liberty. " ~ William Graham Sumner
makattak
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« Reply #40 on: February 13, 2012, 05:35:48 AM »


It's not April, yet. Wink But that prediction looks to be wrong.

I was not incorrect about inflation (which is what makes me perplexed about the consumer confidence numbers) but at least give me credit for the ones I got spectacularly correct:

Quote
6. Cubs will not win the world series.
7. Lions will not win the Super Bowl.
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RoadKingLarry
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« Reply #41 on: February 13, 2012, 05:54:17 AM »

Some things will get worse.

Some things will get better.

We'll all get a little older. (well. most of us anyway)

So far I'm good.
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longeyes
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« Reply #42 on: February 13, 2012, 10:36:37 AM »

Try Los Angeles: regular is bouncing around $4 right now.
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MicroBalrog
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« Reply #43 on: February 25, 2012, 03:31:27 AM »

Okay, this has been done before. We've given our political and economic predictions for the coming year.

2. Violent crime rates will continue to fall in the United States, and more expansions of gun rights on the state level will be seen.



http://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2011/preliminary-annual-ucr-jan-jun-2011/data-tables/table-1
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Destroy The Enemy in Hand-to-Hand Combat.

"...tradition and custom becomes intertwined and are a strong coercion which directs the society upon fixed lines, and strangles liberty. " ~ William Graham Sumner
MicroBalrog
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« Reply #44 on: February 25, 2012, 03:32:39 AM »

Try Los Angeles: regular is bouncing around $4 right now.

http://www.californiagasprices.com/

Over $5 in certain parts.
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Destroy The Enemy in Hand-to-Hand Combat.

"...tradition and custom becomes intertwined and are a strong coercion which directs the society upon fixed lines, and strangles liberty. " ~ William Graham Sumner
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