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Author Topic: Hurricane Irma  (Read 5951 times)
Mannlicher
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« on: September 04, 2017, 06:07:21 AM »

Here we go again.  Irma is churning along westward in the Atlantic.  Looks fairly certain it will impact Florida.  Not so worried about our place in North FL,  but I am concerned about the condo in Miami.  Right on Biscayne Bay.  Wife is working down there now, and I'm trying to talk her into driving up to North FL early.  So far, she says her stubborn self is staying down there. 
https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2017/hurricane-irma
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230RN
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« Reply #1 on: September 04, 2017, 06:19:14 AM »

 Evil Buy a big fat term insurance policy on her stubborn self, now.  Evil

(Couldn't resist.  Have just been researching killings for the insurance money.  So my thinking is somewhat negatively colored.)

Actually I hope all turns out OK.  Been through at least two hurricanes that went up the coast to NY when I lived there.  Not fun, even in their somewhat depleted state.

Terry
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Whatever logic they used in 1934 to "constitutionally" make some guns unavailable to thee and me,  they can also use to effectively ban everything right down to single-shot .22 rifles. Remember that.  And that $200 tax would be about $2500 today.
Fly320s
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« Reply #2 on: September 04, 2017, 06:37:37 AM »

I might not be going to Jamaica on Saturday.
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dogmush
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« Reply #3 on: September 04, 2017, 08:24:17 AM »

I'm eyeing it myself.

I'm hoping it barrels into south Fl (sorry about your condo) rather then hitting the gulf and turning north. Storms just offshore push a lot of water into Tampa Bay.

My place is pretty high, but prolonged power outages can suck.

Also, Mrs. Mush didn't trim any trees while I was deployed, so I have some chainsaw work to do this week.
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Hawkmoon
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« Reply #4 on: September 04, 2017, 10:11:21 AM »

Fairly technical article here: https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/threat-increasing-cuba-florida-intensifying-irma

Looks like a predominance of the computer projections leans toward Irma looping around south Florida and moving up along the Gulf coast.

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makattak
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« Reply #5 on: September 04, 2017, 10:20:12 AM »

Hmmm... nearly all of those tracks will end up bringing us some rain. Looks like it's just a matter of how much it will have left when it gets here.
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Hawkmoon
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« Reply #6 on: September 04, 2017, 10:34:00 AM »

Looks like it's going to suck to be in Cuba.
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makattak
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« Reply #7 on: September 04, 2017, 10:36:31 AM »

Looks like it's going to suck even more to be in Cuba.

FTFY
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grampster
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« Reply #8 on: September 04, 2017, 01:42:09 PM »

We have friends who live in Cape Coral and Ft. Myers.  The elevation is less than 5 feet in the Cape and around 8 in Ft. Myers.  We also have a place rented for the winter in Ft. Myers.  I sincerely hope that critter takes a hard right turn and stays out in the Atlantic.
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Sindawe
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« Reply #9 on: September 04, 2017, 02:52:26 PM »

We have friends who live in Cape Coral and Ft. Myers.  The elevation is less than 5 feet in the Cape and around 8 in Ft. Myers.  We also have a place rented for the winter in Ft. Myers.  I sincerely hope that critter takes a hard right turn and stays out in the Atlantic.

I hope so as well, even though I no longer have family in Florida.  The FL Governor has declared a state of emergency ahead of the possible landfall later this week.  Prudent move in my view.

http://miami.cbslocal.com/2017/09/04/florida-gov-declares-state-of-emergency-over-hurricane-irma/
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dogmush
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« Reply #10 on: September 04, 2017, 03:54:19 PM »

The 1800z GFS model shows an early Sunday landfall in south Fl. They are showing predicting it to hit with 140ish mph winds and run up the State.

That'll make a mess. 

We'll see when that right turn actually starts, and how sharp it is.  6 or 12 hours difference in when it turns could be a real big deal with this one.
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dm1333
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« Reply #11 on: September 04, 2017, 04:29:51 PM »

Fingers crossed for all you Floridians and Texans.
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Fly320s
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« Reply #12 on: September 05, 2017, 10:46:15 AM »

We have friends who live in Cape Coral and Ft. Myers.  The elevation is less than 5 feet in the Cape and around 8 in Ft. Myers.  We also have a place rented for the winter in Ft. Myers.  I sincerely hope that critter takes a hard right turn and stays out in the Atlantic.

On the current track, the Florida west coast should be mostly safe.  The tidal surge will get pushed away from land.
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dogmush
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« Reply #13 on: September 05, 2017, 11:58:55 AM »

On the current track, the Florida west coast should be mostly safe.  The tidal surge will get pushed away from land.

It's too far out to even think that out loud.

This far out the models slide back and forth a couple hundred miles each time they run them.

We should know approx how screwed FL is thurs night.
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Amy Schumer
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« Reply #14 on: September 05, 2017, 12:21:28 PM »

Fairly technical article here: https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/threat-increasing-cuba-florida-intensifying-irma

Looks like a predominance of the computer projections leans toward Irma looping around south Florida and moving up along the Gulf coast.



I'm guessing all those black crosses and grey dots are oilwell heads and drilling platforms.
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Bless with a hard heart those that stand with me.
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Sweet memories to drive us on for the motherland.
bedlamite
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« Reply #15 on: September 05, 2017, 02:07:15 PM »

http://dailycaller.com/2017/09/05/virgin-islands-allows-national-guard-to-seize-guns-ammo-ahead-of-hurricane-irma/
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« Reply #16 on: September 05, 2017, 02:10:37 PM »

Could be coming to my front yard. Good times.
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Amy Schumer
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« Reply #17 on: September 05, 2017, 02:37:02 PM »

Could be coming to my front yard. Good times.

If it does, I want a full report before I move down there...
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Some days even my lucky rocketship underpants won't help.


Bring me my Broadsword and a clear understanding.
Get up to the roundhouse on the cliff-top standing.
Take women and children and bed them down.
Bless with a hard heart those that stand with me.
Bless the women and children who firm our hands.
Put our backs to the north wind.
Hold fast by the river.
Sweet memories to drive us on for the motherland.
HeroHog
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« Reply #18 on: September 05, 2017, 02:51:07 PM »

The Constitution prohibits that IIRC! I say give them the projectiles...
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Hawkmoon
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« Reply #19 on: September 05, 2017, 02:52:23 PM »

Right about now I'm thinking Montana, Wyoming, or Idaho is looking like an area to which to retire. As much as I dislike winter and snow, I dislike having the roof blow off my house even more.
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Amy Schumer
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I spent a week in that town one night....


« Reply #20 on: September 05, 2017, 02:59:49 PM »

Right about now I'm thinking Montana, Wyoming, or Idaho is looking like an area to which to retire. As much as I dislike winter and snow, I dislike having the roof blow off my house even more.

Winter happens every single year.  And it's a couple months of suck.  A Hurricane is a more rare occurrence.  Plus the the area I'm looking at is 2+ hours inland, so storm surge is out.  I will worry about flooding, so I want something a bit above everything else.   But I'm more concerned about the other effects.
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Some days even my lucky rocketship underpants won't help.


Bring me my Broadsword and a clear understanding.
Get up to the roundhouse on the cliff-top standing.
Take women and children and bed them down.
Bless with a hard heart those that stand with me.
Bless the women and children who firm our hands.
Put our backs to the north wind.
Hold fast by the river.
Sweet memories to drive us on for the motherland.
Ben
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« Reply #21 on: September 05, 2017, 03:06:37 PM »

Winter happens every single year.  And it's a couple months of suck. 

That's why I'm going for the Idaho banana belt. Some years they don't even get snow to speak of.

Fingers crossed for all the FL members!
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Fly320s
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« Reply #22 on: September 05, 2017, 03:10:08 PM »


Well, that aint gonna happen.

Here is the actual order: http://dailycaller.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/NATL-GUARD.pdf
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RoadKingLarry
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« Reply #23 on: September 05, 2017, 03:12:23 PM »

One of the reasons I returned to Oklahoma after I got out of the Navy.
I was at least peripherally affected by 6 different hurricanes while I was in.
I've lived in Oklahoma a total of 28 years and I've never had any damage from a tornado.
We haven't even had any significant snow fall since winter of 2010-11.
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If ye love wealth better than liberty, the tranquility of servitude better than the animating contest of freedom, go home from us in peace. We ask not your counsels or your arms. Crouch down and lick the hands which feed you. May your chains set lightly upon you, and may posterity forget that you were our countrymen.

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RoadKingLarry
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« Reply #24 on: September 05, 2017, 03:14:24 PM »

Well, that aint gonna happen.

Here is the actual order: http://dailycaller.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/NATL-GUARD.pdf

What are they gonna do, confiscate peoples shotguns so they can shoot the hurricane?
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If ye love wealth better than liberty, the tranquility of servitude better than the animating contest of freedom, go home from us in peace. We ask not your counsels or your arms. Crouch down and lick the hands which feed you. May your chains set lightly upon you, and may posterity forget that you were our countrymen.

Samuel Adams
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