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Author Topic: Will China Invade Taiwan?  (Read 223 times)

Ben

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Will China Invade Taiwan?
« on: April 05, 2021, 08:35:05 AM »

I have been reading a lot more stories lately regarding China making some kind of move on Taiwan. More stories than I remember in recent history. I'm wondering if they will attempt, not necessarily a textbook invasion, but some intrusion into Taiwan? Seems like from this and other stories I've been reading lately, they think that they can now get away with stuff like this because they won't get more than a harshly worded letter from the current US administration.

Certainly AFAIK, Biden didn't make the same kind of phone call to Taiwan that Trump did when he first got in.

Admittedly, the Epoch Times has a strong anti-CCP bias, but I have been reading stories similar to this elsewhere as well:

Quote
The Chinese communist regime is accelerating its plans to invade Taiwan, an expert warns, as Beijing ratchets up military maneuvers against the island.

Twenty Chinese military aircraft—including four nuclear-capable H-6K bombers, 10 J-16 fighter jets, two Y-8 anti-submarine warfare aircraft, and a KJ-500 airborne early warning and control aircraft—entered Taiwan’s air defense identification zone (ADIZ) on March 26, according to Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense. It was the largest incursion ever reported by the ministry.

Taiwan’s ADIZ, located adjacent to the island’s territorial airspace, is an area where incoming planes must identify themselves to the island’s air traffic controller.

The incursion caps off a significant increase in hostility by Beijing against Taiwan since 2020. Taiwan’s President Tsai Ing-wen, re-elected last January, has taken a hard line against threats posed by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), while the island has deepened its cooperation with the United States—prompting the regime to escalate its warmongering towards the island.

https://www.theepochtimes.com/beijing-accelerating-timeline-for-possible-invasion-of-taiwan-expert-warns_3759688.html
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RocketMan

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Re: Will China Invade Taiwan?
« Reply #1 on: April 05, 2021, 09:44:48 AM »

I think Taiwan's days are numbered.  It would not surprise me at all if China makes a serious move against the island during the next four years.  Especially so considering how they have the Biden family in their pockets.
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Lennyjoe

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Re: Will China Invade Taiwan?
« Reply #2 on: April 05, 2021, 09:52:40 AM »

^^^ agree ^^^ and the current administration will do nothing about it. 

Russia will eventually finish off Ukraine and likewise will be Biden’s response.

Ron

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Re: Will China Invade Taiwan?
« Reply #3 on: April 05, 2021, 10:09:49 AM »

Z-man just posted on this subject.

https://thezman.com/wordpress/?p=23394

While it appears we are treaty obliged to protect Taiwan, nobody asked me first  :laugh:

I am opposed to going to war with China over Taiwan.

Intuitively, I feel it isn't going to happen any time soon.

The wish not to believe can influence as strongly as the wish to believe.

Who can escape their own cognitive biases?

TommyGunn

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Re: Will China Invade Taiwan?
« Reply #4 on: April 05, 2021, 10:22:40 AM »

Z-man just posted on this subject.

https://thezman.com/wordpress/?p=23394

While it appears we are treaty obliged to protect Taiwan, nobody asked me first  :laugh:

I am opposed to going to war with China over Taiwan.

Intuitively, I feel it isn't going to happen any time soon.

Many people don't know we're obliged under treaty to protect Taiwan.  I don't think it matters;  Ponysoldier President Biden will most likely allow it, as earlier posters suggested.   :mad:

I'm not at all enthusiastic about such a war,  but do we honor our treaties?  If not our word is utterly worthless in the international arena.   
MOLON LABE   "Through ignorance of what is good and what is bad, the life of men is greatly perplexed." ~~ Cicero

HankB

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Re: Will China Invade Taiwan?
« Reply #5 on: April 05, 2021, 10:28:58 AM »

. . . I'm not at all enthusiastic about such a war,  but do we honor our treaties?  If not our word is utterly worthless in the international arena.
Diminishing the prestige and honor of the USA in the international arena is probably part of the instructions Manchurian Candidate Biden has received from his Chinese owners. (Sadly, hased on Biden's actions so far, there may actually be an element of truth in this . . .  =( )
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MechAg94

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Re: Will China Invade Taiwan?
« Reply #6 on: April 05, 2021, 03:31:08 PM »

My concern is we would send a carrier group over for show to be a big target with its hands tied so it couldn't respond. 
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French G.

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Re: Will China Invade Taiwan?
« Reply #7 on: April 05, 2021, 03:55:57 PM »

My concern is we would send a carrier group over for show to be a big target with its hands tied so it couldn't respond.

Yep. Put me in charge and if forced to have an international response every SSGN, SSN, CG, and DDG we have empties their tomahawk magazines on night one. B-52s likewise. B-2s, space weapons whatever. If it floats or flies it dies. All the headquarters, all the air defenses. Send word that round two is nuclear. No one effing around limited response.
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I'm so contrarian that I didn't respond to the thread.

MechAg94

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Re: Will China Invade Taiwan?
« Reply #8 on: April 05, 2021, 09:05:47 PM »

Yep. Put me in charge and if forced to have an international response every SSGN, SSN, CG, and DDG we have empties their tomahawk magazines on night one. B-52s likewise. B-2s, space weapons whatever. If it floats or flies it dies. All the headquarters, all the air defenses. Send word that round two is nuclear. No one effing around limited response.
If you were in charge, they wouldn't attack. 

https://youtu.be/k9DO26O6dIg?t=105
“It is much more important to kill bad bills than to pass good ones.”  ― Calvin Coolidge

French G.

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Re: Will China Invade Taiwan?
« Reply #9 on: April 05, 2021, 11:28:14 PM »

If you were in charge, they wouldn't attack. 

https://youtu.be/k9DO26O6dIg?t=105

Acceptable, but thinking more along the Gary Oldham lines in the Professional.
AKA Navy Joe   

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kgbsquirrel

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Re: Will China Invade Taiwan?
« Reply #10 on: April 06, 2021, 02:49:20 AM »

Acceptable, but thinking more along the Gary Oldham lines in the Professional.

That is basically what Trump did to the Putin's mercs in Syria.

It was a parade of curb stompings.  Every damn thing in our arsenal that flies got a turn to play in that death orgy.

French G.

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Re: Will China Invade Taiwan?
« Reply #11 on: April 06, 2021, 07:22:10 AM »

That is basically what Trump did to the Putin's mercs in Syria.

It was a parade of curb stompings.  Every damn thing in our arsenal that flies got a turn to play in that death orgy.

And we don’t hear much about Wagner taking over Syria now...  Well, to be fair they are all over Syria
AKA Navy Joe   

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Blakenzy

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Re: Will China Invade Taiwan?
« Reply #12 on: April 06, 2021, 09:11:50 AM »

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Angel Eyes

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Re: Will China Invade Taiwan?
« Reply #13 on: April 06, 2021, 11:22:54 AM »

A friend of mine has relatives in Taiwan, one of which works for the U.S. gov't.  According to them, the mood is very tense there.  Chinese planes are doing low fly-bys regularly and of course Taiwan's air force is scrambling jets to intercept, ratcheting up the tension and increasing the likelihood of an "incident."

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